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Stocks hate this one weird trick from the calendar
  + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +5 min
New York CNN —Leap Day might seem like fun and games — until you consider Wall Street. To account for that gap, Julius Caesar in 45 BC decreed that an extra day be added every four years, leading to the Julian calendar. Pope Gregory XIII in 1582 AD created the Gregorian calendar, coined the term “leap year” and established February 29 as the official leap day. He adds that a leap day can also help marginally raise corporate earnings, since companies get an extra day in a fiscal quarter to operate. History shows that stocks tend to perform worse when an additional day is added to the calendar.
Persons: Julius Caesar, Pope Gregory XIII, Matt Weller, Weller, Dow, , “ Barbie ”, “ Oppenheimer, , Samantha Delouya, It’s, Read, Sam’s, Sam, Matt Egan, Banks Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Dow Jones, Bulls, Research, AMC Entertainment, AMC, Treasury Department, CNN, Treasury Locations: New York, FOREX.com
TOKYO (AP) — Asian shares mostly fell Wednesday although a strong report on U.S. consumer confidence and hopes the Federal Reserve is finished with its aggressive interest rate hikes sent shares higher on Wall Street. Food delivery company Meituan's Hong Kong-traded shares dropped 11% after it forecast its revenue will fall in the current quarter. The loosening grip from inflation and a resilient economy have raised hopes that the Fed might finally be finished with raising its benchmark interest rate. Hopes that the Fed will keep its benchmark interest rate steady were reaffirmed Tuesday by Christopher Waller, a member of the Fed’s Board of Governors. The Fed will meet again in December to update its interest rate policy.
Persons: Australia's, Hang Seng, Matthew Weller, Forex.com, Brent, Tesla, Christopher Waller, , ” Waller, Damian J, Troise, Alex Veiga Organizations: TOKYO, Reserve, Nikkei, China Evergrande, Benchmark, New York Mercantile Exchange, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, GE Healthcare Technologies, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Fed’s, Governors, American Enterprise Institute, U.S ., AP Business Locations: Hong, Shanghai, Hong Kong, China, OPEC, Washington
Top bitcoin miners sold more tokens than they produced last month, according to data portal The Miner Mag. Thirteen public miners sold $164 million worth of bitcoin, cashing in on its price rally in October. Miners' bitcoin liquidation-to-production ratio last month was 104%, up from 70% over the summer. AdvertisementAdvertisementTop crypto miners capitalized on the surge in bitcoin prices last month, selling more tokens than they produced. According to a post on crypto data portal The Miner Mag, 13 public bitcoin miners, including Hut 8 and Bit Digital, sold a total of 15,492 tokens worth $164 million.
Persons: , bitcoin Organizations: Miners, Service Locations: Riding, what's
That could set up a supply shock with potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF looming, an analyst said. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization might run into a shortage of liquid supply, especially with potential approval of a spot bitcoin ETF poised to boost demand. Bitcoin balance on exchanges and price of bitcoin CoinDesk, GlassnodeThe supply crunch could set up bitcoin for another price spike. Earlier this week, bitcoin hit $35,000, the highest since May 2022, on hopes that a spot bitcoin ETF would get regulatory approval soon. AdvertisementAdvertisementUnlike a regular currency, the supply of bitcoin was designed to be finite, capped at 21 million tokens.
Persons: Bitcoin, , Matt Weller, CoinDesk, there's, bitcoin, Weller, haven't Organizations: Service
Odds of a pause in rate hikes in May soared to 90% and investors are pricing in potential for a June rate cut. The 2-year yield dropped to 3.59% and sharp moves of 20 basis points have "become the norm," said one investment firm. The 2-year Treasury yield, which is highly sensitive to views on US monetary policy, sank 22 basis points to 3.598%, hitting levels not seen since mid-September. Bets that the Fed will pause rate hikes then turn to cutting rates this summer jumped Friday. It opted to raise rates by 25 basis points to signal its commitment to lowering inflation to its 2% target.
A closely watched measure of the US dollar pushed to its highest in about a month on Thursday after a strong ADP jobs report. The US Dollar Index climbed past 105 for the first time since early December as the Fed is likely to stick to hiking interest rates. "Accordingly, traders have pushed up their expectations for the terminal interest rates in the US," with June fed funds futures contract implying a peak interest rate of above 5%. Such a move would put the fed funds rate at a range of 5.25% to 5.5%. The Fed views inflation as still "unacceptably high," the minutes showed.
Crypto products and funds saw inflows of $44 million, as of the week ended Nov. 18, but 75% of those flows represented investments in short crypto products, data showed. The total assets under management have plunged to $22 billion, the lowest in two years, CoinShares said. FTX filed for bankruptcy protection in the United States more than a week ago in the highest-profile crypto implosion to date. CoinShares data also showed that bitcoin posted inflows of $14 million, but when offset by inflows into short investment products, the net flows were a negative $4.3 million. Investors poured in record inflows to short-Ethereum products of $14 million.
The US dollar dropped against the Japanese yen on Thursday after Japan intervened in the currency market for the first time since 1998. The dollar lost as much as 2.6% when it hit 140.33 against the Japanese yen, the lowest level since September 6. It was Japan's first currency market intervention since 1998. The dollar this year has climbed 25% against Japan's currency, underscoring the greenback's broad strength against major currencies as the Federal Reserve aggressively raises rates to combat inflation. "Alongside growing rate differentials, Japan's weak trade balance (in part due to elevated energy prices) has also contributed to the yen's weakening.
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